Monday, September 15, 2003

Hurricane Isabel dominates the blog this week, the information courtesy of my intense interest in these storms.

Latest reconissance indicates some shear as it get closer to the US, and this will help weaken the storm, but it remains a very dangerous hurricane. Forecast tracks developed last evening show a strong probability of landfall between Morehead, NC and New Jersey. The average solution, which is a track midway between the extremes of the track, show Isabel heading into land across Cape Hatteras through Virginia and up through Pennsylvania, New York and into Ontario later this week.

Isabel has shown some weakening but is still fluctuating in wind speed, and is still a catagory 4 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. As it passes through the colder ocean current close to coastal North Carolina, it may weaken more. Still, with possible wind speeds in excess of 140 miles per hour at landfall, sustained and extreme damage can occur.

For more information, up to the minute, go to the National Hurricane Center, MSNBC, CNN, Weather.com or HurricaneCity.

Stay safe,

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